How To Dissect Mutual Fund Returns
By Sam Subramanian, PhD, MBA,
AlphaProfit Investments, LLC
http://www.alphaprofit.com
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While
total and compound annual returns are useful, savvy investors will look
deeper, using a variety of metrics, to get a more complete picture on
mutual fund performance.
On January 1, 2006, a leading financial daily reported
the trailing 1-year and 5-year returns of Fidelity Contrafund (Nasdaq:
FCNTX), a no-load mutual fund, as 16.23% and 6.21% respectively. While
the financial daily's return information is useful, there is more to mutual
fund returns.
Is the performance of the fund superior or inferior? How
tax-efficient is the fund in delivering these returns? Are the returns
of the fund commensurate with the risk the fund manager has taken to achieve
them?
Savvy investors will seek answers to such questions when
evaluating mutual fund returns. Before getting into the nitty-gritty of
mutual fund returns, it is good to understand what the data reported in
the financial daily really mean.
Total Return
Fidelity Contra's reported 16.23% 1-year return is the
fund's total return for the December 31, 2004 to December 31, 2005 period.
In practical terms, $10,000 invested in the fund on December 31, 2004
is worth $11,623 on December 31, 2005. The total return includes more
than the increase (or decrease) in the fund's share price. It also assumes
reinvestment of all dividends as well as short- and long-term capital
gain distributions into the fund at the price at which each distribution
is made.
Compound Annual Return
The reported 6.21% 5-year return is the fund's compound
annual return (also called the average annual return). The compound annual
return is a calculated number that describes the rate at which the investment
has grown assuming uniform year-over-year growth during the 5-year period.
A $10,000 investment in the Contrafund on December 31,
2000 has grown to $13,515.34 on December 31, 2005. The ending value of
$13,515.34 = $10,000[(1 + 0.0621)^5] where 6.21% is the compound annual
return. The investment in the fund grew at an implied annual growth rate
of 6.21% over the 5-year period.
While total return and compound annual return are useful,
they do not tell how a particular mutual fund has performed compared to
its peers. They also do not provide information on the return actually
earned by investors after accounting for taxes. Finally, they do not offer
insight on how well the fund manager has managed risk while achieving
the returns.
Relative Return
Relative return compares the performance of a mutual fund
against its peers. It is the difference between the total return of the
fund and the total return of an appropriate benchmark over the same period.
Fidelity Contra is a large-cap growth fund that primarily
invests in U.S.-based companies. It is therefore appropriate to compare
its performance with that of an average large-cap growth fund. It is also
relevant to benchmark the fund against the Standard & Poor's (S&P)
500 index, comprising of large U.S.-based companies.
While Fidelity Contra has a compound annual return of
6.21% for the 5-year period ending December 31, 2005, Morningstar reports
the average large-cap growth fund has an average annual loss of 8.48%
over the same period. The S&P 500 index has an average annual return
of 0.54% over the same period. Fidelity Contra has outperformed with a
relative return of 14.69% over the average large-cap growth fund and with
a relative return of 5.67% over the S&P 500 index.
After-Tax Return
Unlike assets held in qualified accounts such as 401k
plans or individual retirement accounts (IRA), assets held in regular
individual or joint accounts are not tax-deferred. For such non- qualified
accounts, after-tax return is the return realized after accounting for
taxes.
Short-term capital gains and short-term capital gain distributions
from a mutual fund are currently taxed at the same rate as earned income.
Dividends, long-term capital gain distributions, and long-term capital
gains realized from the sale of fund shares are currently taxed at a lower
rate.
Fidelity states the compound annual return for Fidelity
Contra before taxes is 6.21% for the 5-year period ending on December
31, 2005. When all distributions are taxed at the respective maximum possible
federal income-tax rate, the after-tax return dips to 6.10%. The after-tax
return drops further to 5.33% after accounting for the long-term capital
gain tax due on sale of the fund shares.
Risk-Adjusted Return
Some fund managers take more risk than others. It is important
to assess a fund's return in light of the amount of risk the fund manager
takes to deliver that return.
Risk-Adjusted Return is commonly measured using the Sharpe
Ratio. The ratio is calculated using the formula (mutual fund return -
risk free return)/standard deviation of mutual fund return. The higher
the Sharpe ratio, the better is the fund's return per unit risk.
Based on returns for the 3-year period ending on November
30, 2005, Morningstar reports Fidelity Contra's Sharpe ratio as 1.74.
The fund's Sharpe Ratio may be compared with those of similar funds to
determine how the fund's risk-adjusted return compares with those of its
peers.
Beyond Mutual Funds
Return concepts such as relative return, after-tax return,
and risk-adjusted return may also be used for evaluating separately-managed
accounts, hedge funds, and investment newsletter model portfolios.
Summary
While total return and compound annual return are useful,
they do not provide a complete picture of a mutual fund's performance.
Metrics such as relative return and after-tax return offer insights on
the fund's relative performance and tax-efficiency. Risk-adjusted returns
enable investors to assess how a fund's returns stack up when risk is
factored in.
Notes: This report is for information
purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer to buy or
sell securities or to give individual investment advice. This report does
not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation,
and particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report.
The information contained in this report is obtained from various sources
believed to be accurate and is provided without warranties of any kind.
AlphaProfit Investments, LLC does not represent that this information,
including any third party information, is accurate or complete and it
should not be relied upon as such. AlphaProfit Investments, LLC is not
responsible for any errors or omissions herein. Opinions expressed herein
reflect the opinion of AlphaProfit Investments, LLC and are subject to
change without notice. AlphaProfit Investments, LLC disclaims any liability
for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information
in this report. The third-party trademarks or service marks appearing
within this report are the property of their respective owners. All other
trademarks appearing herein are the property of AlphaProfit Investments,
LLC. Owners and employees of AlphaProfit Investments, LLC for their own
accounts invest in the Fidelity Mutual Funds included in the AlphaProfit
Core and Focus model portfolios. AlphaProfit Investments, LLC neither
is associated with nor receives any compensation from Fidelity Investments
or other mutual fund companies mentioned in this report. Past performance
is neither an indication of nor a guarantee for future results. This document
may be reproduced only in its entirety including the author's bio and
hyperlinks to AlphaProfit's web site. Copyright © 2006 AlphaProfit Investments,
LLC. All rights reserved.
Sam Subramanian, Ph.D, MBA
is Managing Principal of AlphaProfit Investments, LLC. He edits the AlphaProfit
Sector Investors' Newsletter™. The investment newsletter is ranked #1
by Hulbert Financial Digest. As of December 31, 2005, the investment newsletter's
model portfolios have gained up to 87.8% since start of publication on
September 30, 2003. The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 index has gained 34.6%
during the same period. To learn more about the newsletter, visit http://www.alphaprofit.com
Published - April 2006
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