Ten Common Investment Errors: Stocks, Bonds, & Management
By Steve Selengut
Professional Investment Portfolio Manager since
1979
BA Business, Gettysburg College; MBA Professional Management
Johns Island, SC, U.S.A.
Sanserve[at]aol.com
www.sancoservices.com
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Investment mistakes happen for a multitude of reasons,
including the fact that decisions are made under conditions of uncertainty
that are irresponsibly downplayed by market gurus and institutional spokespersons.
Losing money on an investment may not be the result of a mistake, and
not all mistakes result in monetary losses. But errors occur when judgment
is unduly influenced by emotions, when the basic principles of investing
are misunderstood, and when misconceptions exist about how securities
react to varying economic, political, and hysterical circumstances. Avoid
these ten common errors to improve your performance:
1. Investment decisions should be made within a clearly defined
Investment Plan. Investing is a goal-orientated activity that
should include considerations of time, risk-tolerance, and future income...
think about where you are going before you start moving in what may be
the wrong direction. A well thought out plan will not need frequent adjustments.
A well-managed plan will not be susceptible to the addition of trendy,
speculations.
2. The distinction between Asset Allocation and Diversification
is often clouded. Asset Allocation is the planned division of
the portfolio between Equity and Income securities. Diversification is
a risk minimization strategy used to assure that the size of individual
portfolio positions does not become excessive in terms of various measurements.
Neither are "hedges" against anything or Market Timing devices.
Neither can be done with Mutual Funds or within a single Mutual Fund.
Both are handled most easily using Cost Basis analysis as defined in the
Working Capital Model.
3. Investors become bored with their Plan too quickly, change
direction too frequently, and make drastic rather than gradual adjustments.
Although investing is always referred to as "long term", it
is rarely dealt with as such by investors who would be hard pressed to
explain simple peak-to-peak analysis. Short-term Market Value movements
are routinely compared with various un-portfolio related indices and averages
to evaluate performance. There is no index that compares with your portfolio,
and calendar divisions have no relationship whatever to market or interest
rate cycles.
4. Investors tend to fall in love with securities that rise in
price and forget to take profits, particularly when the company was once
their employer. It's alarming how often accounting and other
professionals refuse to fix these single-issue portfolios. Aside from
the love issue, this becomes an unwilling-to-pay-the-taxes problem that
often brings the unrealized gain to the Schedule D as a realized loss.
Diversification rules, like Mother Nature, must not be messed with.
5. Investors often overdose on information, causing a constant
state of "analysis paralysis". Such investors are likely
to be confused and tend to become hindsightful and indecisive. Neither
portends well for the portfolio. Compounding this issue is the inability
to distinguish between research and sales materials... quite often the
same document. A somewhat narrow focus on information that supports a
logical and well-documented investment strategy will be more productive
in the long run. But do avoid future predictors.
6. Investors are constantly in search of a short cut or gimmick
that will provide instant success with minimum effort. Consequently,
they initiate a feeding frenzy for every new product and service that
the Institutions produce. Their portfolios become a hodgepodge of Mutual
Funds, iShares, Index Funds, Partnerships, Penny Stocks, Hedge Funds,
Funds of Funds, Commodities, Options, etc. This obsession with Product
underlines how Wall Street has made it impossible for financial professionals
to survive without them. Remember: Consumers buy products; Investors select
securities.
7. Investors just don't understand the nature of Interest Rate
Sensitive Securities and can't deal appropriately with changes in Market
Value... in either direction. Operationally, the income portion
of a portfolio must be looked at separately from the growth portion. A
simple assessment of bottom line Market Value for structural and/or directional
decision-making is one of the most far-reaching errors that investors
make. Fixed Income must not connote Fixed Value and most investors rarely
experience the full benefit of this portion of their portfolio.
8. Many investors either ignore or discount the cyclical nature
of the investment markets and wind up buying the most popular securities/sectors/funds
at their highest ever prices. Illogically, they interpret a current
trend in such areas as a new dynamic and tend to overdo their involvement.
At the same time, they quickly abandon whatever their previous hot spot
happened to be, not realizing that they are creating a Buy High, Sell
Low cycle all their own.
9. Many investment errors will involve some form of unrealistic
time horizon, or Apples to Oranges form of performance comparison.
Somehow, somewhere, the get rich slowly path to investment success has
become overgrown and abandoned. Successful portfolio development is rarely
a straight up arrow and comparisons with dissimilar products, commodities,
or strategies simply produce detours that speed progress away from original
portfolio goals.
10. The "cheaper is better" mentality weakens decision
making capabilities and leads investors to dangerous assumptions and short
cuts that only appear to be effective. Do discount brokers seek
"best execution"? Can new issue preferred stocks be purchased
without cost? Is a no load fund a freebie? Is a WRAP Account individually
managed? When cheap is an investor's primary concern, what he gets will
generally be worth the price.
Compounding the problems that investors have managing their investment
portfolios is the sideshowesque sensationalism that the media brings to
the process. Investing has become a competitive event for service providers
and investors alike. This development alone will lead many of you to the
self-destructive decision making errors that are described above. Investing
is a personal project where individual/family goals and objectives must
dictate portfolio structure, management strategy, and performance evaluation
techniques. Is it difficult to manage a portfolio in an environment that
encourages instant gratification, supports all forms of "uncaveated"
speculation, and that rewards short term and shortsighted reports, reactions,
and achievements?
Yup, it sure is.
Steve Selengut:
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.valuestockbuylistprogram.com
Professional Portfolio Management since 1979 Author of: "The Brainwashing
of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU
to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment Strategy"
Published - May 2006
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