Real Estate Purchase: How to Calculate Your Return on Investment
By Emlyn Scott
http://www.Rich1Percent.com
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Love the deal not the property!
The old saying is "Location. Location. Location." While picking
the correct location for the purpose you intend to use your property
is absolutely essential there is one more piece of analysis that
is even more important. The financial analysis!
Do the numbers stack up? Is the deal worth it? Are you going to
get the right return for you time, effort and risk? You may have
found the best piece of real estate in the best street, in the best
suburb, but if the numbers don't make it a profitable deal then
it's a waste of time. Real estate investment is not about location
it's about profits.
There are three standard methods used to assess whether a property
is financially worth investing in or not. These are:
Yield:
Yield is one of those ratios that everyone, especially estate agents,
seems to use but isn't particularly useful in property analysis.
Yield is the annual income of an asset divided by the price of the
asset. For example, if a $100,000 property produces $8,000 a year
in rental income, it would have an 8% yield. Yield is used widely
because it's a simple number to produce and understand. But it often
hides more than it shows. Using yields on property is problematic
for three reasons:
1. Ignores the power of leverage - leverage is a powerful reason
why property is such an attractive investment. Looking at the
$100,000 property again, let's say you invested $20,000 and borrowed
$80,000 at 6% to buy the property. Yield doesn't help tell you
what your return is on your $20,000? Yield only tells you what
the return is on the asset itself.
2. Ignores the future - Yield doesn't take into account the increase
in a property's price. Let's say, for example, that the $100,000
property price increases to $105,000 after one year. Yield ignores
a property's capital growth.
3. Ignores costs – Yield ignores the costs involved in owning
a property such as interest expenses and running costs like maintenance,
property management, insurance, etc.
Cash-on-cash return:
Cash-on-cash return is a much more effective way to analyze your
possible investment. It takes into account your borrowing costs
and all expenses involved in buying and operating a property. Cash-on-cash
return concentrates on what return you're likely to earn on your
invested cash, not the asset itself.
Using our $100,000 property…the cash-on-cash return is focused
on telling us our return on the $20,000 cash we invested, not on
the $100,000 property value. Taking your income of $8,000 again,
and this time assuming your interest and running costs total $5,500,
what would your cash on cash return be? Your cash on cash return
would be 12.5% (($8,000-$5,500)/$20,000)
The objective is to have a positive cash on cash return and the
higher the better. If you analyze an investment and it generates
a negative cash-on-cash return, walk away and move onto the next
deal.
So, our yield was 8%, but the return on our cash investment is
actually 12.5%, which means you've increased the return on your
money when including leverage and costs. However, cash-on-cash return,
like yield, doesn't take into account the future into account such
as potential capital appreciation, rising rentals and costs. The
yield and the cash-on-cash return take a snapshot or picture of
an investment; they don't look at an investment's return over time.
Internal rate of return:
The internal rate of return (IRR) solves all these problems by
taking into account your invested cash, the predicted returns over
time and capital appreciation. It allows you to easily compare two
differently priced and financed investments so you can decide which
is superior. It also enables you to change variables such as the
borrowing amounts and growth rates to see the effect on your return.
The downside to IRR is that it's rather difficult to understand
and calculate. But, thankfully, computers have made it a snap.
The textbook definition of IRR is "the interest rate that gives
a stream of income a net present value (NPV) of zero." Wow! I prefer
to think of IRR as "the interest rate I would have to earn on my
investment to produce the same set of cashflows." Let's say that
our $100,000 property cost us $20,000 today and it produced $2,500
profit in the first year, $3,000 in the second and $3,500 in the
third. At the end of the third year, we sold it for $125,000, giving
us $45,000 cash ($25,000 profit plus the initial $20,000 we paid).
Taxes aren't included in this example. The IRR is 42%. This is simply
the interest rate we would earn investing $20,000 to produce these
cashflows.
IRR Example
Year 0 (Today) Cashflow -$20,000
Year 1 $2,500
Year 2 $3,000
Year 3 $48,500
IRR 42%
The yield on this investment was a pretty boring 8%. The cash-on-cash
return looked far more interesting at 12.5% but still wasn't jumping
out to grab us. However, the IRR is 42%. Now, that's a fantastic
return on your cash! Why does the IRR give us such a different picture
of exactly the same investment? Because the IRR takes into account
the future, which includes the increase in rentals (and expenses)
and the expected proceeds from the sale of the property in three
years. Essentially, IRR takes into account all the cashflows involved
in an investment over the entire period of the investment. It isn't
just a snapshot; it looks at the complete story.
The investment with the highest IRR is obviously the preferred
investment, as it means you're earning the highest interest rate
on your cash. A good rule of thumb is that you should only consider
investments that generate IRR above 20%. In the Wealth Tools section
is the Property Investment Calculator spreadsheet which is free
when you register which can do all the essential calculations in
a millisecond and will ensure you're making a fully informed and
profitable investment decision. Good luck with your real estate
investing.
About The Author: Emlyn Scott is the founder of
http://www.Rich1Percent.com,
investor and wealth creation author. He is a wealth creation and
finance expert with 4 post graduate qualifications (BEc, GDAFI,
MBA, CFA) and over 15 years of hands-on finance and investment experience.
emlynscott@rich1percent.com
Published - January 2010
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